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Title:
National Drug Threat Assessment 2003
Publication Date: January 2003
Document ID: 2003-Q0317-001
Archived on: January 1, 2006. This document may contain dated information. It remains available to provide access to historical materials.
The National Drug Threat Assessment merges foreign and domestic counterdrug intelligence and information on domestic drug trends in a single report. It integrates the most recently available reporting from national-level law enforcement and intelligence agencies with the most current national substance abuse indicator data from public health agencies to accurately and reliably depict the current domestic drug situation. The report also draws on information from nearly 2,900 state and local law enforcement agencies that responded to our National Drug Threat Survey 2002 as well as from more than a thousand personal interviews with law enforcement and public health officials.
Your questions, comments, and suggestions for future subjects are welcome at any time. Addresses are provided at the end of the page.
Contents
Cocaine and Crack
Availability
Demand
Production
Transportation
Mexico-Central America Corridor
Caribbean Corridor
Direct to the Continental United States
Distribution
Primary Market Areas
Key Developments
ProjectionsMethamphetamine
Availability
Demand
Production
Domestic Production
Foreign Production
Transportation
Transportation of Domestically Produced Methamphetamine
Transportation of Foreign-Produced Methamphetamine
Distribution
Primary Market Areas
Key Developments
ProjectionsMarijuana
Availability
Demand
Production
Transportation
Distribution
Primary Market Areas
Key Developments
ProjectionsHeroin
Availability
Demand
Production
Transportation
Mexican Heroin
South American Heroin
Southeast Asian Heroin
Southwest Asian Heroin
Distribution
Primary Market Areas
Key Developments
ProjectionsMDMA
Availability
Demand
Production
Transportation
Distribution
Primary Market Areas
Key Developments
ProjectionsOther Dangerous Drugs
Club Drugs
GHB
Ketamine
Rohypnol
Hallucinogens
LSD
PCP
PsilocybinPharmaceuticals
Narcotics
Depressants
StimulantsAppendix A: National Drug Threat Survey 2002 Methodology
Appendix B: Selected National Substance Abuse Indicators
List of Figures
Figure 1. Organized Crime Drug Enforcement Task Force Regions
Figure 2. Greatest Drug Threat Percentage of State & Local Agencies Reporting
Figure 3. Regional Drug Availability Percentage of State & Local Agencies Reporting High Availability
Figure 4. Primary Market Areas
Figure 5. Cocaine Flows to the United States
Figure 6. Primary Market Areas: Cocaine
Figure 7. Primary Market Areas: Methamphetamine
Figure 8. Primary Market Areas: Marijuana
Figure 9. Primary Market Areas: Heroin
Figure 10. Primary Market Areas: MDMAList of Tables
Table A1. NDTS 2002 Sample Design
Table A2. NDTS 2002 Response Rates by OCDETF Region
Table B1. Percentage of NHSDA Respondents Reporting Use of Specific Drugs in Their Lifetime, by Age Group, 1997-2001
Table B2. Percentage of NHSDA Respondents Reporting Use of Specific Drugs in the Past Year, by Age Group, 1997-2001
Table B3. Percentage of NHSDA Respondents Reporting Use of Specific Drugs in the Past Month, by Age Group, 1997-2001
Table B4. MTF: Trends in Lifetime Prevalence of Use of Various Drugs for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders, 1998-2002 (%)
Table B5. MTF: Trends in Current Prevalence of Use of Various Drugs for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders, 1998-2002 (%)
Table B6. MTF: Trends in Past Year Prevalence of Use of Various Drugs for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders, 1998-2002 (%)
Table B7. PRIDE: Percentage of Past Year Drug Use by Junior and Senior High School Students and 12th Graders, 1997-1998 through 2001-2002 School Years
Table B8. PRIDE: Percentage of Current Drug Use by Junior and Senior High School Students and 12th Graders, 1997-1998 through 2001-2002 School Years
Table B9. DAWN: Estimated Number of Emergency Department Drug Mentions and Mentions of Selected Drugs by Year, 1994-2001
Table B10. Treatment Admissions and Admissions by Selected Primary Substances of Abuse, TEDS 1994-2001
From the Director:
I am pleased to present the National Drug Threat Assessment 2003. Prepared annually by the National Drug Intelligence Center (NDIC) in partnership with federal, state, and local agencies, this report is designed to provide policymakers and law enforcement personnel at all levels with information for their use in formulating counterdrug policy, establishing law enforcement priorities, and allocating resources.
The National Drug Threat Assessment merges foreign and domestic counterdrug intelligence and information on domestic drug trends in a single report. It integrates the most recently available reporting from national-level law enforcement and intelligence agencies with the most current national substance abuse indicator data from public health agencies to accurately and reliably depict the current domestic drug situation. The report also draws on information from nearly 2,900 state and local law enforcement agencies that responded to our National Drug Threat Survey 2002 as well as from more than a thousand personal interviews with law enforcement and public health officials.
I would like to thank all participating agencies and organizations without whose contributions this assessment would not have been possible. The assistance they provided and the detailed information they contributed have been invaluable in the production of this assessment.
I encourage you to review the National Drug Threat Assessment 2003 and provide feedback on the enclosed Reader Comment Card. I appreciate your assistance and look forward to collaborating on future projects.
Michael T. Horn
January 2003
Addresses
National Drug Intelligence Center
319 Washington Street, 5th Floor
Johnstown, PA 15901Tel. (814) 532-4601
FAX (814) 532-4690
E-mail NDIC.Contacts@usdoj.govNational Drug Intelligence Center
8201 Greensboro Drive, Suite 1001
McLean, VA 22102-3840Tel. (703) 556-8970
FAX (703) 556-7807
Web Addresses
ADNET: http://ndicosa
DOJ: http://www.usdoj.gov/archive/ndic/
LEO: home.leo.gov/lesig/archive/ndic/
RISS: ndic.riss.net
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