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National Drug
Intelligence Center
National Drug Threat Assessment 2005 -
Executive Summary
February 2005
While the demand for heroin is significantly lower than for
other drugs such as cocaine, methamphetamine, and marijuana, the consequences of heroin abuse are such that
its abuse poses a significant drug threat. Slightly more than 310,000 persons aged 12 or older
reported past year heroin use in 2003, considerably lower than the number of individuals who reported
past year use of marijuana (25.2 million), cocaine (5.9 million), and methamphetamine (1.3 million).
Trends and Developments
- Heroin is readily available in most major metropolitan areas
in the United States, and availability appears to be relatively stable overall. The availability of
Southwest Asian heroin appears to have increased slightly in 2003, attributable partly to
participation by certain groups--for example, Nigerian and Russian traffickers--in heroin
transportation and wholesale distribution. However, compared with other types of
heroin available in
domestic markets, relatively little Southwest Asian heroin is destined for the United
States,
and preliminary 2004 data indicate that availability of Southwest Asian heroin may be declining to
pre-2003 levels.
- Despite stable demand for heroin in the United States, the
number of primary heroin treatment admissions continues to increase. Because heroin abusers
typically abuse the drug for several years before seeking treatment, the increase likely is due to
individuals seeking treatment who began abusing the drug in the mid- to late 1990s, when the
demand for heroin increased significantly in the United States.
Figure 7. Heroin
Admissions to Publicly Funded Treatment Facilities,
1992-2002
![Graph showing number of heroin-related admissions to publicly funded treatment facilities for the years 1992-2002.](images/fig7.gif)
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Source: Treatment Episode Data Set.
- In 2003, potential worldwide opium production and heroin
production increased significantly, attributable overwhelmingly to increases in production in
Afghanistan. Potential worldwide illicit opium production in 2003 was estimated at 3,757 metric
tons compared with 2,237 metric tons in 2002. Worldwide heroin production was estimated at 426.9
metric tons in 2003 compared with 244.7 metric tons in 2002. (See Table
5).
Moreover, 2004 estimates indicate a significant increase in illicit opium production and potential
heroin production.
Table 5.
Potential Worldwide Heroin Production, in Metric Tons,
1999-2003
| 1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
Mexico |
8.8 |
4.5 |
10.7 |
6.8 |
11.9 |
NA* |
Colombia |
8.7 |
8.7 |
11.4 |
8.5 |
7.8 |
NA* |
Afghanistan |
218.0 |
365.0 |
7.0 |
150.0 |
337.0 |
582.0 |
Burma |
104.0 |
103.0 |
82.0 |
60.0 |
46.0 |
28.0 |
Laos |
13.0 |
20.0 |
19.0 |
17.0 |
19.0 |
5.0 |
Pakistan |
4.0 |
19.0 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
5.2 |
NA* |
Thailand |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
NA |
NA* |
Vietnam |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
NA |
NA* |
Total |
358.1 |
522.2 |
132.6 |
244.7 |
426.9 |
NA* |
Source: Crime and Narcotics
Center.
* Estimates for 2004 are not completed.
- The smuggling of South American heroin across the Southwest
Border--particularly through Texas--increased significantly in 2003. According to EPIC data,
the amount of South American heroin seized in the U.S. Arrival Zone in Texas surpassed the
amount seized in New Jersey, historically the state reporting the third highest amount of
South American heroin seized, after New York and Florida.
- Chicago, Los Angeles, and New York are the three PMAs for
heroin distributed throughout the United States because abuse levels are high in these cities and
because wholesale quantities of heroin are distributed from these cities to heroin markets
throughout the country. Other cities that are not PMAs but are significant markets in terms of abuse
or distribution include Baltimore, Detroit, Miami, Newark, Philadelphia, San Francisco, Seattle,
and Washington, D.C. Boston also is a very significant heroin market and previously
was designated a PMA for the drug; however, Boston does not appear to be a heroin
distribution center equal to Chicago, Los Angeles, and New York. In fact, law enforcement reporting
indicates that most wholesale and midlevel heroin distributors in New England states are supplied
directly by New York City based wholesale distributors rather than Boston-based wholesalers.
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The trafficking and abuse of MDMA
(3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine, also known as ecstasy) pose a moderate threat to the United States. Most federal,
state, and local law enforcement agencies report that MDMA is readily available and abused in their areas;
however, levels of availability and abuse appear to be declining. Federal-wide Drug Seizure System (FDSS)
data and law enforcement reporting indicate that federal seizures of MDMA and MDMA-related arrests
have decreased each year since peaking in 2001. Demand for MDMA appears to be declining among
adolescents and adults overall.
Figure 8.
MDMA-Related Arrests, Nationwide, 2000-2003
![Graph showing the number of MDMA-related arrests for the years 2000-2003.](images/fig8.gif)
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Source: Drug Enforcement Administration.
Figure 9.
Recorded MDMA Seizures in Dosage Units,
2000-2003
![Graph showing the number of federal-wide seizures of MDMA in dosage units for the years 2000-2003.](images/fig9.gif)
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Source: Federal-Wide Drug Seizure System.
Trends and Developments
-
The availability of MDMA has decreased significantly
nationwide since peaking in 2001, most likely the result of increased interdiction efforts and the
effective dismantling of large MDMA trafficking organizations.
-
The rates of past year use for MDMA are decreasing. NSDUH
data show that the estimated number of persons aged 12 or older reporting past year use of
MDMA decreased significantly from nearly 3.2 million in 2002 to 2.1 million in 2003.
-
Most MDMA available in the United States is produced in
northwestern Europe, particularly in the Netherlands and Belgium. Very few domestic MDMA
laboratories are seized each year.
-
The number of MDMA dosage units seized arriving from foreign
source countries decreased from 6,699,882 dosage units in 2001, to 3,771,449 dosage units
in 2002, and 948,438 dosage units in 2003.
Figure 10.
Numbers of Reported MDMA Laboratory Seizures, Nationwide, 2000 -
Mid-2004
![Chart showing numbers of reported MDMA laboratory seizures nationwide during years 2000-Mid-2004.](images/fig10.gif)
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Source: El Paso Intelligence Center National
Clandestine Laboratory Seizure System.
- Asian criminal groups are increasingly involved in MDMA
trafficking in all regions of the United States and may surpass Israeli and Russian criminal
groups as the dominant transporters and wholesale distributors of the drug.
- Los Angeles, Miami, and New York are PMAs for MDMA based on
reporting from public health and law enforcement agencies. These metropolitan areas
are PMAs for MDMA because of a high level of demand for the drug in these areas and the
large amounts of MDMA distributed from these areas to other markets across the country. There
appears to be a relatively high demand for MDMA in Philadelphia based on data that gauge MDMA-related
consequences in that city; however, distribution from Philadelphia to other U.S.
drug markets is limited.
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